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Showing posts from September 13, 2026

World Blog by humble servant.Technical Assessment: Nasdaq 100 futures Contract. The chart depicts a market trapped in a tight, late-stage consolidation channel with declining momentum and clear signs of seller control at resistance.

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Technical Assessment: Nasdaq The chart depicts a market trapped in a tight, late-stage consolidation channel with declining momentum and clear signs of seller control at resistance.  Key Technical Levels Immediate Resistance: 29,469 – 29,869 (Mid Line 29,469.33 aligned with par SAR at 29,869.26). A sustained break above the Upper Bollinger Band at 30,000.23 is required to re-engage the June highs near 31,104.50 . Immediate Support: 28,938 – 29,042 (Bollinger Lower Band at 28,938.42 and daily low cluster around 29,042.50). Key Breakdown Level: 27,150 – 27,200 marks the late-July capitulation base. Indicator Breakdown Moving Averages & Parabolic SAR: The price trades right on top of its Legacy EMA ( 29,386.34 ) and below the parSAR stop line ( 29,869.26 ), reflecting compression without strong directional trend conviction. Momentum (Stochastic & RSI): Full Stochastic (%K: 45.73, %D: 47.44) and RSI (49.75) sit dead center at neutral. Neither is oversold nor overbought...

World Blog by humble servant.Chart Overview & Macro Structure Mini Dow Jones Future Contract

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Chart Overview & Macro Structure The daily chart shows a multi-month transition from a disciplined summer uptrend into a broad, rolling top followed by an aggressive distribution leg. May to Early August (Markup Phase): Price carved out an ascending channel from the June low near 49,850 up to the cycle peak of 54,884 in early August. The rally consistently respected the Legacy EMA as dynamic support during this run. August to September (Distribution & Trend Shift): Following the August print at 54,884 , price failed to form higher highs, carving out lower reaction peaks around 53,700 – 53,800 . The sharp rollover in early September cleanly broke the lower Bollinger Band, violating the multi-week shelf and signaling a transition into a markdown phase. 9/11 Session (Exhaustion vs. Breakdown Test): The 9/11 candle pushed to an intraday low of 51,992 , breaching the lower envelope before buyers absorbed the dip back to close near 52,500 . This established an immediate wick rej...