The World Blog by humble servant.

MLB Market Calibration & Execution Debrief 1. Core Model Calibration vs. Live Outcomes Matchup / Target Live Line Break-Even % 10k Sim Win % Value Edge Final Score Result CWS @ CLE Over 6.5 +114 46.7% 61.4% +14.7% CWS 4, CLE 3 (7 runs) WON NYY @ TB Over 6.5 +113 46.9% 55.7% +8.8% TB 5, NYY 2 (7 runs) WON Chicago White Sox ML +129 43.7% 43.8% Fair Value CWS won 4–3 WON Tampa Bay Rays ML +102 49.5% 46.4% Fair Value TB won 5–2 WON 2. Ticket Settlement Ledger Ticket / Position Structure Odds Risk Allocation Gross Payout Net Profit Result White Sox Straight ML Straight +129 $40.00 $91.60 +$51.60 WON Rays Straight ML Straight +102 $40.00 $80.80 +$40.80 WON 2-Team Underdog ML Parlay CWS ML + TB ML +363 $20.00 $92.60 +$72.60 WON Cross-Game Pair 1 (Totals) CWS Over 6.5 + TB Over 6.5 +356 Unit / Round Robin Multiplier Full Hit WON Cross-Game Pair 2 (Total + Dog) CWS Over 6.5 + TB ML +332 Unit / Round Robin Multiplier Full Hit WON Cross-Game Pair 3 (Total + Dog) TB Over 6.5 + CWS ML +388 Unit...