The World Blog by humble servant.

Phases of a Bear Market A bear market is generally defined as a sustained decline of 20% or more in a major stock index, like the S&P 500, from its recent peak, accompanied by widespread pessimism. It unfolds in distinct phases, though the exact timing and intensity can vary. Here’s how they typically progress: Recognition Phase   This is the initial stage where the market begins to turn. Prices may still be near highs, and investor sentiment remains optimistic from the prior bull run. Early declines are often dismissed as normal fluctuations or a minor correction (a drop of 10% to less than 20%). Some investors start to sense trouble and begin selling, but most hold on, expecting a rebound. Economic indicators might still look decent, masking the shift. Panic Phase   As declines deepen, fear takes hold. Stock prices fall sharply, trading activity drops, and corporate profits weaken. Economic indicators—such as employment, consumer spending, or GDP growth—start t...

 Detailed Report on the Trump Administration’s Reciprocal Tariffs: Methodology, Impacts, and Economic Introduction                                                                                                                                  The Trump Administration implemented a policy of "reciprocal tariffs" aimed at addressing perceived trade imbalances with the United States. These tariffs were calculated based on a formula tied to the U.S. trade deficit with each nation, with the stated goal of reducing deficits by penalizing countries with trade surpluses. However, this approach has been criticized for oversimplifying global trade dynamics, ignoring struc...