World Blog by humble servant.Indexes: Bear Trap Confirmation in 2 of 4 Majors (Russell 2000 and NASDAQ 100)
Indexes: Bear 9 Confirmation in 2 of 4 Majors (Russell 2000 and NASDAQ 100) The four main U.S. indexes (S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Russell 2000, NASDAQ 100) have all faced heightened volatility in November 2025, fueled by tariff rollout fears, softening consumer sentiment (dipping to 3-year lows), and persistent inflation at 2.9% CPI. However, true bear traps—sharp downside moves that lure shorts before a bullish reversal—manifest in exactly two: the Russell 2000 and NASDAQ 100. These exhibited exaggerated breakdowns below key supports (e.g., 50-week MAs), followed by snap-backs on volume, trapping bears. The S&P 500 and Dow, while down ~1% month-to-date, stayed in shallower corrections without the "trap" reversal dynamics, trading more as orderly pullbacks—though today's Dow shine has the S&P teetering on the edge of flipping its YTD trend superiority over the blue-chips. Index Nov 2025 Performance Peak-to-Trough Drop Key Trap Signal Reversal Evid...