The World Blog by humble servant.

The Real Economy vs. Money: Real Economy: This consists of the production, distribution, and consumption of tangible goods (like food, clothing, and cars) and intangible services (like education, healthcare, and entertainment). These are the actual resources and activities that meet human needs and wants. Money as an Abstract Representation: Money serves as: A Medium of Exchange: Facilitates trade without the need for direct bartering. A Unit of Account: Provides a standard measure to value goods and services. A Store of Value: Allows saving and future spending, although its value can fluctuate. Money vs. Gold: Historical Context: Gold was traditionally used as money because it had intrinsic value due to its scarcity, durability, divisibility, and portability. Societies used gold coins or bullion directly in transactions, linking money directly to something tangible with inherent worth. Money as an Abstract Representation of Gold: Gold Standard: Historically, many currencies were backe...

Cesar Analysis Report /ESH25 and /NQH25 Date: March 9, 2025 Purpose: Public service and personal use technical analysis of /ESH25 and /NQH25 futures based on March 7, 2025, closing data. /ESH25 Analysis (E-mini S&P 500 Futures, March 2025) Indicators (Close March 7, 2025): Close: 5,771.75 High: 5,791 | Low: 5,673 | Open: 5,766 SMA: 5,876 (9-day SMA) PSAR: 5,971 Bollinger Bands: Midline 5,996 | Lower Band 5,743 | Upper Band 6,249 RSI: 29.82 Stochastic Oscillator: %K 19.96 | %D 48.08 Market Sentiment: 51.97 (Present) | 79.01 (High on 12-23-24) Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): +0.06 (Zero Line 0.00) Volume: 2,245,481 Technical Analysis: Price Position and Trend: Close at 5,771.75 is 104.25 points below the 9-day SMA (5,876) and 199.25 points below PSAR (5,971), confirming a bearish short-term trend. Price is 28.25 points above the BB lower band (5,743), near the lower volatility edge, suggesting support or a potential bounce. 9-Day SMA Context: SMA (5,876) implies prior 8 days averaged ~5,90...

Caesar’s Final Analysis: Trump’s Path is Clear In this high-stakes geopolitical scenario, NATO and the EU, propelled by a €12-13 trillion debt crisis and coveting Russia’s $75 trillion in natural resources, pursue war with Russia, aiming to trigger Article 5 and pull the U.S. into conflict. Donald Trump, as U.S. President, counters with an isolationist agenda—exiting NATO and mending relations with Russia—aligned with both his and Vladimir Putin’s desire to avoid broader wars. The EU’s debt-fueled disarray, China’s initial stabilizing influence, and internal fractures (e.g., Germany, Hungary) define a volatile yet exploitable landscape. Within Trump’s administration, a "duel monster" tension emerges: Secretary of State Marco Rubio, a hawk reined in by Trump’s vision, and Lindsey Graham, a "deep state" saboteur operating from the shadows. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stands as Trump’s enforcer. After exhaustive analysis—original scenario, added assumptions (China’s...