The World Blog by humble servant.

Refined Multi-Index Trading Strategy: Scaling into Santa Claus Rally By The humble servant. Updated for December 10, 2025 Market Context (as of Dec 9 Close) Indexes dipped shallowly (~0.2-0.9%) on mixed JOLTS (openings 7.67M up, layoffs/hires flat) and pre-FOMC caution. Prices near/in avoid zones: MESZ25 6,846.50 < SMA 6,853 (breach risk), MYMZ25 47,581 < SMA 47,721 (breach risk), MNQZ25 25,676.50 > SMA 25,578, M2KZ25 2,529.20 > SMA 2,507. %K/%D bearish cross (not >90), money flows mostly negative. SCR setup intact: Nov positive, YTD >15%, Fed cut odds 87% (Dec 10-11 expected 25bp; Powell cautious on 2026 amid data). VIX ~16.2; vol risk 20% next 3 days (Dec 10 FOMC/Powell—dovish aids reentry, hawkish fades; Dec 11 CPI ~3% YoY; Dec 12 digestion). Historical SCR win 79% (+1.3% avg), easing +2.8% since 2020—target +2-3% by Jan. Combined Indicator Summary Across 4 Indexes Index Futures Price %K / %D RSI PSAR / SMA (20) Sentiment Money Flow Bias MESZ25 (S&P) 6,846.50 7...