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Showing posts from December 6, 2025

World Blog by humble servant.Updated Market Context (as of December 5, 2025)

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Updated Market Context (as of December 5, 2025) With your plan to exit equities Sunday (futures reopen 6 PM ET), that's a solid move aligning with the abandon trigger from the bearish %K/%D crossovers. This positions you flat ahead of jobs data (Dec 6), allowing reentry on dips if signals reverse (%K > %D in cooled ranges, RSI >55). The SCR setup holds (79% historical win rate, +2.8% avg in easing cycles), but short-term pullback odds remain ~75% amid overbought cooling. VIX ~15.8 signals calm, but tariff/Fed risks loom. Staying in metals (gold/silver) as a 5-10% hedge is prudent—silver's bullish crossover adds tailwind. Markets closed modestly higher today, with Nasdaq leading (+0.4-0.6%), but volumes thin pre-jobs. Gold dipped slightly (~$4,197-4,206), silver rallied to ~$57.58-58.42. YTD intact: S&P +17%, Nasdaq +22.6%. Key Market Recap (Nov 29 Close to Dec 5 Close) Index/Asset Nov 29 Close Dec 5 Close % Change YTD % (Dec 5) S&P 500 6,849 ~6,879-6,900 +0.44-0.7...