World Blog by humble servant. Guest Columnist:Economic Confidence Model Armstrong's Economic Confidence Model is an economic cycle theory that proposes that economic waves occur every 8.6 years, or 3141 days, which is approximately {\displaystyle \pi \times 1000}{\displaystyle \pi \times 1000}. At the end of each cycle is a crisis after which the economic climate improves until the next 8.6 year crisis point. The theory is based on a list of historical financial panics (26 in 224 years, between 1683 and 1907), producing a frequency of roughly 8.6 years.[2] Armstrong concluded that a wave of 8.6 years moved through larger waves building in intensity amounting to six waves of 8.6 years constructing a major long wave of 51.6 years.[2] Also key are quarter-cycles of 2.15 years.[4] Armstrong kept his cycle secret . The New Yorker commented that Armstrong suggested that his models were rooted in certain fundamentals and complex computer calculations, rather than in a simple mystical number.[2] Predictions Armstrong's theory was initially applied in 1977, when he used it to successfully predict an upturn in the price of commodities, according to The New Yorker..

On June 27th 1998 Armstrong was quoted in the Financial Times,^[5] predicting that the Russian financial troubles would prove to be more damaging to Europe than the 1997 Asian financial crisis. Other commentators in the same article argued that only countries with strong ties to Russia - e.g. Germany and smaller eastern European countries - would be severely affected. Turn out Marty was right.

Armstrong  in the article he predicted the economic collapse itself,  this prediction drew the attention of the CIA.^[8] 

Justin Fox wrote in Time that Armstrong's model "made several eerily on-the-mark calls using a formula based on the mathematical constant pi."

Barron's noted the model called for a change in sentiment in June 2011.^[4],                                                         Marty do you think China will go after Taiwan now as the world is distracted by Ukraine? And the total Idol worshipers are in LOCK step.

ANSWER: Eventually yes. The timing appears to be more leaning to 2023 during the first quarter. I will deal with that in the coming report on War. The computer is clearly showing this is going to escalate – not subside. The West has demonized Russia and that is what is necessary to support a war effort. They have to get the people to HATE the target.

That much they have done. They succeeded in getting people to hate Putin and then they attribute that hate to all the Russian people. The resentment over Vietnam has still provided the basic elements for the same against China. Even calling COVID the CCP virus adds to that component necessary for war. Hate crimes against Asians in New York have become a thing since COVID. You must always demonize your opponent to create support for the objective. Next, we will see the expulsion of diplomats between the US and Russia. That will also contribute to the escalation of this event into 2023